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Competiveness of Pakistan’s Selected Fruits in the World Market

SJA_35_4_1175-1184

 

 

 

Research Article

Competiveness of Pakistan’s Selected Fruits in the World Market

Rakhshanda Kousar1, Tahira Sadaf1*, Muhammad Sohail Amjad Makhdum2, Muhammad Amjed Iqbal1 and Raza Ullah1

1University of Agriculture, Faisalabad, Pakistan; 2Government College University, Faisalabad, Pakistan.

Abstract | The study in hand provides analysis of Pakistan’s comparative and competitive advantage in production of top three fruits, namely mango, citrus and dates by using Revealed Comparative Advantage, Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage, Relative Export Advantage Index and Log of Relative Export Advantage Index. For this purpose, time series data has been collected for the period 2001-2018 from Food and Agricultural Organization Statistics, International Trade Centre map, and World Banks’ World Integrated Trade Solutions, Trade Development Authorities of Pakistan, and Pakistan’s Economic Surveys. It was found that Pakistan comparative advantage in production of all three fruits as values of the Revealed Comparative Advantage were greater than one and Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage values remained positive throughout the study period. Despite having comparative advantage, results of Relative Export Advantage Index and log of Relative Export Advantage Index revealed that Pakistan do not have export competitiveness and competitive advantage in case mango, citrus and dates. Value of Relative Export Advantage Index is less than one which illustrates that Pakistan is having competitive disadvantage of Pakistan in case of production of mango, citrus and dates throughout the study period. In a similar token results of log of Relative Export Advantage Index in all years under consideration, reveals competitive disadvantage of Pakistan as value of this index remained negative in case of all the three fruits. If value of Revealed Comparative Advantage is compared in case of these three fruits, dates have higher value of the index, hence comparatively higher comparative advantage than other two fruits. Pakistan should focus on improvement of quality of its top three important fruits in order to increase international competitiveness and retain the comparative advantage in production of mango, citrus and dates.


Received | Febraury 22, 2018; Accepted | September 14, 2019; Published | November 12, 2019

*Correspondence | Tahira Sadaf, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad, Pakistan; Email: [email protected]

Citation | Kousar, R., T. Sadaf, M.S.A. Makhdum, M.A. Iqbal and R. Ullah. 2019. Competiveness of Pakistan’s selected fruits in the world market. Sarhad Journal of Agriculture, 35(4): 1175-1184.

DOI | http://dx.doi.org/10.17582/journal.sja/2019/35.4.1175.1184

Keywords | Comparative Advantage, Competitive Advantage, Fruits, Agriculture Policy, Pakistan



Introduction

Process of globalization and trade openness continuously increasing the competition of commodities at global level and Pakistan is facing challenges of competitiveness due to lack of value addition, liquidity constraints and poor institutional arrangement. Competitiveness refers to efficient utilization of domestic resources to produce commodities that compete with the global standards. The principle of comparative advantage is important economic tool for the allocation of scarce resources, price stability, identifying and prioritizing potential export markets, and designing trade policies.

Within agriculture sector, the horticulture is a key sub-sector in Pakistan. Climatic diversity and ecological environment of Pakistan favor to produce fruits. Among fruits, the most commonly cultivated fruits are mangoes, citrus, apple, grapes, banana, dates etc. Fruits contribute almost 2.48% value addition to agricultural GDP (GOP, 2019) and has tremendous export potential (PHDEC, 2017). This study takes into consideration tope three famous fruits for checking their competitiveness by using the concept of comparative advantage.

‘Mango’ is one of the most commercialized fruit of tropical countries and is considered as the king of fruits (Pulido et al., 2017). Pakistani mangoes are very famous owing to its special taste and characteristics. It is the second largest fruit crop of Pakistan in term of production. During FY 2001-2017, average production of mango in Pakistan was almost 1.6 million tons, with an average area coved of 147 thousand hectares and an average yield of 10 tons per hectare (see Figure 1). Area covered under mango has remained almost constant throughout the study period. Yield has also remained stagnant during the period. Pakistan’s mango export increased from $ 45.37 million in 2016-17 to $ 73.16 million in 2017-18 which constitute almost 2.66 percent share of total world mango export in year 2018 (ITC map (https://www.trademap.org); GOP, 2019).


 

Citrus stands at 1st position in the production and exports of fruits in Pakistan. Kinnow is largest exportable commodity among citrus which constitutes about 95% of mandarin export from Pakistan. Pakistan holds a prominent position among top ten Kinow (mandarin) exporting countries in the world (GOP, 2018; Ahmad et al., 2018). The export of citrus increased from $ 139.59 million in 2016-17 to $ 177.85 million in 2017-18. The share of citrus export in global citrus export is around 1.2 percent (ITC map; GOP, 2019).

Dates are highly nutritious fruit being grown in tropical parts of the world. Pakistan stands among the top five exporters of dates (FAO, 2018). Balochistan is the top producer of dates among Pakistani provinces. More than half of production of dates comes from this province. The export of dates from Pakistan in year 2016-17 were around $ 107.49 million and raised to 112.73 million in 2017-18. The share of export of dates of Pakistan is 5.78% of its global (ITC map; GOP, 2019).

According to the trade theory, estimating the competitive advantage is more useful than comparative advantage. The concept of competitiveness refers to market distortions whereas, comparative advantage includes undistorted markets (Akhtar et al., 2009). Moreover, with the reduction of trade barriers and increasing trend of globalization, export competitiveness is gaining importance. This paper estimated both competitive advantage and comparative advantage to compare results.

These fruit crops may tend to pay significant contribution in GDP of country by making them in line to world market through value addition. Export of fruits to world market was always been amorous for Pakistan because there is huge room for Pakistan in term of comparative and competitive advantage. Pakistan’s competitiveness however is still needed to get improved. Therefore, the present study was designed to estimate export competitiveness and comparative advantage of three Pakistani fruits (mangoes, dates, citrus) in international market.

Numbers of studies have investigated the export competitiveness of Pakistani’ commodities by using Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA), Chi-Square and CTB measure etc. Javed et al. (2006) examined the comparative advantage of Pakistani’ cotton by employed Domestic Resource Cost (DRC), Nominal Protection Coefficient (NPC) and Effective Protection Coefficient (EPC) for the data of period 1998-2003. Akhtar et al. (2009) analyzed the international competitiveness of mangoes, dates and oranges of Pakistan during the period 1995-2005 by employing revealed comparative advantage (RCA). Shoufeng et al. (2011) investigated the export competitiveness of agricultural commodities among central Asian countries and China. They employed RCA index and trade competitiveness index in the study. Almodarra and Saghaian (2016) used RCA to analyze the comparative advantage of KSA in producing and exporting dates into global market. Naseer et al. (2018) analyzed the competitiveness of the mandarin industry for top 15 exporters of mandarin by calculating RSCA. Sardar et al. (2019) investigated the export potential, potential market and importance of beef industry of Pakistan. Keeping in view of the trade potential of Pakistani fruits, the present study is designed to investigating the comparative and competitive advantage of fruits by employing RCAm, RSCA, RXA and RCAl.

 

Materials and Methods

This study has utilized the RCAm, RSCA, RXA and RCAl mentioned as equations (2-5), for investigating the comparative and competitive advantage of Pakistan in selected fruits namely mango, citrus and dates. For this purpose, time series data has been collected for the period 2001-2018 from Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data), International Trade Center map (www.trademap.org), and WITS World Bank (http://wits.worldbank.org), Trade development Authority of Pakistan, and Economic Survey of Pakistan (various editions).

In order to analyze the trade performance of certain country in a specific commodity a number of indices and instruments are available including Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA), Revealed Imports Penetration Index (RMP), Relative Export Advantage Index (RXA) and Relative Trade Advantage (RTA) index. These indices rank countries accordingly to estimate their relative competitiveness in a certain commodity.

Comparative advantage is a concept derived from two theories of International Economics, namely the Ricardian theory and the Heckscher-Ohlin (H-O) theory. According to the Ricardian theory, comparative advantage is a country’s capability of producing a certain commodity based on having better technology as compared to other countries. Whereas, the H-O theory assumes same technologies in all countries and attributes comparative advantage to cost differences in producing certain commodity based on the factor endowment.

The Revealed Comparative Advantage most commonly known as Balassa index was first introduced by Balassa and Noland (1965). It measures the relative advantage/disadvantage of a nation in trade of a specific commodity. This index is based on ‘comparative advantage’ concept of David Ricardo. A large number of researchers prefer using Balassa’s Revealed Comparative Advantage over other measures in order to determine comparative and competitive advantage in certain commodity for a specific country enjoying competitive edge (Balassa (1989); Ferto and Hubbard (2004); Hsu and Wann (2004); Laursen (1998); Almodarra and Saghaian (2016); Javed et al. (2017)). An RCA index provides trend of competitiveness in a certain commodity or sector on the basis of time series data of trade in that commodity.

The RCA index is mostly calculated for each past year, as in most of the countries past trade data is available on yearly basis. This index need information on the structure of export only and it does not require any other information including relative costs and non-price factors that might affect export of a commodity under consideration. Formula for simple RCA index is given as below:

RCAs = Xij/Xnj …(1)

Where;

X= exports; i= a country; j= commodity and n is number of countries. A modified form of RCA is as follows:

RCAm = (Xij/Xit)/(Xnj/Xnt) = (Xij/Xnj)/(Xit/Xnt) …(2)

Where;

X= exports; i= a country; j= a commodity; t= number of commodities and n= number of countries. RCA ijt provides relative measure of a commodity’s export to total exports and to the corresponding exports of a set of countries. In this way a comparative advantage becomes “revealed”. If it is less than one, the nation under consideration is said to be in a comparative disadvantage in the commodity under consideration.

Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA) Index is modified form of RCA, using this index enables researcher to normalize very high values of RCA. Value of this measurement ranges between –1 and +1 Dalum et al. (1998) and Laursen (1998). RSCA index is formulated using the following formula:

RSCAijt = (RCAm - 1) / (RCAm + 1) …(3)

RSCA index measuring more than ‘0’ reveals a competitive advantage of ith product being exported by jth country in year ‘t’ and vice versa. It provides information to how much extent a country is specialized in exporting certain commodity.

Another important scale is Relative Export Advantage Index (RXA) mostly utilized for evaluating a country’s export competitiveness in international market Balassa (1989) and Scott and Vollrath (1992). This is an index measured as the ratio of a nation’s export portion of a certain product in the world market divided by its share in total global export. If a country meets criteria set by this index, it is considered competitive in international market for export of certain commodity (Frohberg and Hartmann, 1997). RXA is defined as:

RXA = (Xni- Xij)/(Xnij-Xni) ….(4)

Where;

Xnj is total export of ith country, Xij is its export of jth Product, Xnij is total global exports and Xni is total export of that nation. Value of this index needs to be more than ‘1’ for a country to get the status of being competitive internationally and vice versa.

Another measure utilized in the literature for analyzing competitive advantage is RCAl. It utilizes the following formula:

RCAl = Ln RXA …. (5)

Value of this index higher than ‘0’ is desirable for the status of having competitive advantage and a negative value means a competitive disadvantage.

 

Results and Discussion

Following the formulae mentioned in Equation 2 to equation 5, RCAm, RSCA, RXA and RCAl were calculated, respectively, for analyzing comparative advantage and competitive advantage of Pakistan in case of selected fruits namely mango, citrus and dates.

Pakistan’s comparative advantage and competitiveness in ‘Mango’

Mango due to having high nutritional benefits, unique taste, and captivating aroma is known as ‘King of fruits’. Pakistan is seventh largest producer of mango while third largest exporter of mango in the world markets (Table 2). Pakistan also falls in top ten exporters of this fruit (Table 3). Mango exports from Pakistan was 11.62 million USD in 2002 and this exports value for mango exports is the lowest value earned from exports of mango from Pakistan in the study period. There was steady growth in exports of mango from Pakistan per year.

 

Table 1: Globally major producers of ‘mango, mangosteen and guava’ in the world.

S. No.

Country

Production in million tons

1

India

19.51

2

China

4.94

3

China, Mainland

4.79

4

Thailand

3.82

5

Indonesia

2.57

6

Mexico

1.96

7

Pakistan

1.69

Source: FAOSTAT.

 

Table 2: Major exporters of ‘mango, mangosteen and guava’ in the world.

S. No.

Country

Export in million USD

1

Mexico

378.50

2

Netherlands

287.25

3

India

202.57

4

Peru

197.74

5

Brazil

180.33

6

Thailand

165.85

7

Spain

70.43

8

Philippines

66.87

9

Pakistan

65.84

Source: FAOSTAT.

 

As discussed in the previous section on methodology, indices available to analyze comparative advantage (RCAm and RSCA) and export competitiveness (RXA and RCAl) have different merits in analyzing comparative advantage and competitive advantage of a country in production of a certain commodity. This study therefore, utilized RCAm, RSCA, RXA and RCAl to analyze Pakistan’s competitiveness in exporting selected fruits (mango, citrus and dates).

Results reveal that Pakistan has values of the RCAm greater than one throughout study under consideration (2001 to 2018) in case of export of ‘mango’.

 

Table 3: RCA index results for pakistan’s comparative advantage in ‘mango’.

Year

Pakistan's export of mango (million USD)

Pakistan total exports (million USD)

Global export of mango (million USD)

Global total export(million USD)

RCA

RSCA

RXA

RCAl

2001

12.74

9202

1164.48

7057589.29

8.39

0.79

0.001302

-6.6437

2002

11.62

9135

1178.82

6833244.32

7.37

0.76

0.001335

-6.6185

2003

14.33

11160

1328.37

7213694.69

6.97

0.75

0.001545

-6.4725

2004

15.78

12313

1383.86

8299353.32

7.69

0.77

0.001482

-6.5144

2005

17.89

14391

1276.36

10208887.94

9.94

0.82

0.001408

-6.5655

2006

19.41

16451

1495.06

11496674.39

9.07

0.80

0.001429

-6.5505

2007

12.04

16976

1436.53

13357547.74

6.59

0.74

0.00127

-6.6686

2008

17.44

19052

1569.13

15324995.89

8.94

0.80

0.001242

-6.6909

2009

23.07

17688

1573.47

17555991.69

14.55

0.87

0.001006

-6.9015

2010

25.22

19290

1748.31

13817035.11

10.33

0.82

0.001394

-6.5753

2011

37.69

24810

1703.63

16810972.69

14.99

0.87

0.001474

-6.5200

2012

38.58

23624

1804.07

20087865.87

18.18

0.90

0.001174

-6.7472

2013

52.35

24460

1438.83

20153797.58

29.98

0.94

0.001211

-6.7162

2014

57.20

25110

1937.27

20867697.99

24.54

0.92

0.001201

-6.7249

2015

57.00

23667

2161.84

20788288.01

23.16

0.92

0.001136

-6.7804

2016

64.90

20787

2382.70

15583231.63

20.42

0.91

0.00133

-6.6226

2017

45.37

20422

2944.11

16929204.02

12.77

0.85

0.001204

-6.7222

2018

73.16

23212

2747.45

15112894.50

17.34

0.89

0.001531

-6.4816

Average

33.10

18430.56

1737.46

14305498.15

13.96

0.87

0.001286

-6.6561

Source: ITC map (https://www.trademap.org) and Economic Survey of Pakistan.

 

Value of RSCA should be positive for a country to have comparative advantage in production of a specific commodity. In case of mango, Pakistan has maintained positive RSCA throughout the period (see Table 3). Results of both indices reveal that Pakistan has comparative advantage in case of mango.

Findings of this study regarding Pakistan’s comparative advantage in mango are in line with findings of previous studies. Where, Pakistan is having comparative advantage in all the horticultural crops (Akhter et al., 2009) including fruits (Abbas and Waheed, 2017), mango has comparative advantage in markets of several regions including South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), European Union (EU) and Gulf (Riaz et al., 2010) and the international market as a whole (Riaz et al., 2012). Despite having comparative advantage, results of RXA and RCAl reveal that Pakistan do not have export competitiveness and competitive advantage in case mango. Value of RXA is less than one which illustrates that Pakistan is having competitive disadvantage of Pakistan in case of production of mango throughout the study period (as mentioned in Table 3). In a similar token results of RCAl in all years under consideration, reveal competitive disadvantage of Pakistan as value of RCAl remained negative.

Figure 2 reveals the comparative overview of results of all the indices measured in order to reveal Pakistani mango despite having comparative advantage has export disadvantage and competitive disadvantage.


 

Pakistan’s comparative advantage and competitiveness in ‘Citrus’

In Pakistan, Citrus is grown on an area of 0.192 million hectares with 2180 thousand tons, which has consistently increased since FY 2000-2001 (see Figure 3). Most of citrus is grown in Punjab province of Pakistan. Citrus is high in nutrients, particularly, vitamin C. Among all countries Pakistan is at thirteenth rank in production of citrus (Table 4). In overall global export of citrus, Pakistan falls in top countries (Table 5). Export of citrus consistently increased during the study period (Table 6).


 

Table 4: Globally major producers of citrus (‘Tangerines, Mandarins, Clementines, Satsumas’).

S. No.

Country

Production in 000 tons

1

China

18187.69

2

China, mainland

18026.02

3

Spain

1967.02

4

Turkey

1550.47

5

Morocco

1278.35

6

Egypt

1038.75

7

Brazil

965.35

8

USA

937.12

9

Japan

741.30

10

Republic of Korea

688.07

11

Italy

683.14

12

Iran

656.03

13

Pakistan

590.75

14

Mexico

492.50

Source: FAOSTAT

 

Table 5: Major global exporters of citrus (‘Tangerines, Mandarins, Clementines, Satsumas’).

S. No.

Country

Export in million USD

1

Spain

1439.39

2

China

939.84

3

China, mainland

916.07

4

Turkey

321.87

5

Morocco

299.66

6

South Africa

189.22

7

Pakistan

157.97

8

Peru

135.39

9

Netherlands

124.40

Source: FAOSTAT.

 

As done in case of mango, RCAm, RSCA, RXA and RCAl were calculated Pakistan’s competitiveness in producing and exporting citrus. Results of RCAm index reveals that Pakistan got comparative advantage in production of citrus, as the value of index is greater than one throughout study under consideration (2001 to 2018).

Value of RSCA should be positive for a country to have comparative advantage in production of a specific commodity. In case of citrus, Pakistan has maintained positive RSCA throughout the period (see Table 6). Results of both indices reveal that Pakistan has comparative advantage in case of citrus.

Findings of this study regarding Pakistan’s comparative advantage in citrus are in line with findings of previous studies. Where, Pakistan is having comparative advantage in all the horticultural crops (Akhter et al., 2009) including fruits (Abbas and Waheed, 2017), citrus has comparative advantage in markets of several regions including SAARC, the EU and Gulf (Riaz et al., 2010) and the international market as a whole (Riaz et al., 2012). RSCA’s results support that Pakistan is one of top five countries having comparative advantage in mandarin production (Naseer et al., 2018). However, Pakistan has export disadvantage and competitive disadvantage as obvious from the results of RXA and RCAl, where the value of RXA is less than one and value of RCAl remained negative throughout the study period.

Figure 4 reveals the comparative overview of results of all the indices measured in order to reveal Pakistani citrus despite having comparative advantage has export disadvantage and competitive disadvantage.


 

Pakistan’s comparative advantage and competitiveness in ‘Dates’

In Pakistan, ‘Dates’ are grown on an area of 93.78 thousand hectares with 487.4 thousand tons, which has consistently increased since FY 2000-2001

 

Table 6: RCA Index Results for Pakistan’s Comparative Advantage in ‘Citrus’.

Year

Pakistan's export of citrus (000 USD)

Pakistan total exports (million USD)

Global export of citrus (000 USD)

Global total export (million USD)

RCA

RSCA

RXA

RCAl

2001

16.3

9202

4708.21

7057589.29

2.66

0.45

0.001302

-6.6435

2002

20.9

9135

5071.50

6833244.32

3.08

0.51

0.001335

-6.6190

2003

22.67

11160

6074.97

7213694.69

2.41

0.41

0.001545

-6.4726

2004

30.72

12313

6637.29

8299353.32

3.12

0.51

0.001481

-6.5150

2005

21.48

14391

6971.11

10208887.94

2.19

0.37

0.001409

-6.5652

2006

42.90

16451

7181.56

11496674.39

4.17

0.61

0.001428

-6.5514

2007

33.78

16976

8669.24

13357547.74

3.07

0.51

0.001269

-6.6694

2008

48.63

19052

10481.86

15324995.89

3.73

0.58

0.001241

-6.6919

2009

69.40

17688

10249.74

17555991.69

6.72

0.74

0.001004

-6.9036

2010

106.09

19290

11342.41

13817035.11

6.70

0.74

0.00139

-6.5788

2011

138.65

24810

11922.36

16810972.69

7.88

0.77

0.001469

-6.5234

2012

155.88

23624

11934.51

20087865.87

11.11

0.83

0.001169

-6.7516

2013

171.38

24460

13100.69

20153797.58

10.78

0.83

0.001206

-6.7205

2014

192.58

25110

13138.11

20867697.99

12.18

0.85

0.001195

-6.7298

2015

184.79

23667

12659.01

20788288.01

12.82

0.86

0.00113

-6.7853

2016

171.47

20787

13492.17

15583231.63

9.53

0.81

0.001324

-6.6270

2017

139.59

20422

13930.97

16929204.02

8.31

0.79

0.001199

-6.7262

2018

177.85

23212

14780.50

15112894.50

7.83

0.77

0.001526

-6.4853

Average

96.95

18430.56

10130.35

14305498.15

6.57

0.74

0.001282

-6.6590

Source: ITC map (https://www.trademap.org) and Economic Survey of Pakistan.

 

(see Figure 5). Highest production of dates is received from Balochistan province of Pakistan. Among all countries Pakistan is ranked sixth largest producer of dates in the world (Table 7). In overall global export of dates, Pakistan is on rank of fifth position (Table 8). Export of dates consistently increased during the study period (Table 9).

 

Table 7: Globally major producers of dates.

S. No.

Country

Production in 000 tons

1

Egypt

1590.41

2

Iran

1185.17

3

Algeria

1058.56

4

Saudi Arabia

754.76

5

Iraq

618.82

6

Pakistan

524.04

7

UAE

475.29

8

Sudan

439.36

9

Oman

360.92

10

Egypt

688.07

Source: FAOSTAT.

 

As performed in case of mango and citrus, RCAm, RSCA, RXA and RCAl were also calculated Pakistan’s competitiveness in producing and exporting citrus. Results of RCAm index reveals that Pakistan got comparative advantage in production of dates, as the value of index is greater than one throughout study under consideration (2001 to 2018).

 

Table 8: Globally major exporters of dates.

S. No.

Country

Export in million USD

1

Tunisia

226.61

2

UAE

160.22

3

Israel

141.54

4

Saudi Arabia

107.77

5

Pakistan

102.60

6

Iran

97.52

7

USA

58.67

8

Iraq

50.00

9

France

37.62

10

Tunisia

226.61

Source: FAOSTAT.

 

Value of RSCA should be positive for a country to have comparative advantage in production of a specific commodity. In case of dates, Pakistan has maintained positive RSCA throughout the period (see Table 9).

 

Table 9: RCA index results for pakistan’s comparative advantage in ‘dates’.

Year

Pakistan's export of dates (000 USD)

Pakistan total exports (million USD)

Global export of dates (000 USD)

Global total export (million USD)

RCA

RSCA

RXA

RCAl

2001

13.24

9202

231.11

7057589.29

43.94

0.96

0.001302

-6.6438

2002

22.68

9135

222.27

6833244.32

76.33

0.97

0.001334

-6.6199

2003

24.95

11160

298.57

7213694.69

54.02

0.96

0.001544

-6.4736

2004

27.80

12313

282.90

8299353.32

66.24

0.97

0.00148

-6.5155

2005

30.39

14391

440.19

10208887.94

48.98

0.96

0.001407

-6.5665

2006

37.66

16451

439.01

11496674.39

59.95

0.97

0.001428

-6.5517

2007

38.69

16976

641.92

13357547.74

47.43

0.96

0.001268

-6.6703

2008

39.80

19052

698.90

15324995.89

45.81

0.96

0.001241

-6.6921

2009

50.37

17688

697.72

17555991.69

71.65

0.97

0.001005

-6.9031

2010

52.41

19290

833.82

13817035.11

45.02

0.96

0.001392

-6.5767

2011

64.08

24810

956.55

16810972.69

45.39

0.96

0.001472

-6.5211

2012

80.84

23624

1156.63

20087865.87

59.43

0.97

0.001172

-6.7490

2013

85.72

24460

1259.68

20153797.58

56.07

0.96

0.001209

-6.7176

2014

79.98

25110

1310.95

20867697.99

50.70

0.96

0.0012

-6.7258

2015

83.21

23667

1407.34

20788288.01

51.93

0.96

0.001135

-6.7815

2016

102.60

20787

1449.74

15583231.63

53.05

0.96

0.001327

-6.6245

2017

107.49

20422

1648.28

16929204.02

54.06

0.96

0.0012

-6.7254

2018

112.73

23212

1948.31

15112894.50

37.67

0.95

0.001529

-6.4834

Averagae

58.59

18430.56

884.66

14305498.15

53.76

0.96

0.001284

-6.6575

Source: ITC map (https://www.trademap.org).

 

Results of both indices reveal that Pakistan has comparative advantage in case of dates.

Findings of this study regarding Pakistan’s comparative advantage in dates are in line with findings of previous studies. Where, Pakistan is having comparative advantage in all the horticultural crops (Akhter et al., 2009) including fruits (Abbas and Waheed, 2017), dates has comparative advantage in markets of several regions including SAARC, the EU and Gulf (Riaz et al., 2010) and the international market as a whole (Riaz et al., 2012). However, Pakistan has export disadvantage and competitive disadvantage as obvious from the results of RXA and RCAl, where the value of RXA is less than one and value of RCAl remained negative throughout the study period.


 

 

 

Figure 6 reveals the comparative overview of results of all the indices measured in order to reveal Pakistani dates despite having comparative advantage has export disadvantage and competitive disadvantage.

If we compare the RCA of mango, citrus and dates, it reveals that dates have comparatively higher RCA than other two fruits. However, it has declined during past few years (as obvious from Figure 7).

 

Conclusions and Recommendations

Pakistan is seventh largest producer of ‘mango’, thirteenth largest producer of ‘citrus’ and sixth largest producer of dates in the world. In case of export of mango, citrus and dates, Pakistan’s rank is third, seventh and fifth, respectively. Export of all these fruits has kept increasing over the study period (2001 to 2018). This study utilized RCAm, RSCA, RXA and RCAl to analyze Pakistan’s competitiveness in exporting these three fruits. Results reveal that Pakistan has values of the RCAm greater than one throughout study under consideration (2001 to 2018) in case of export of ‘mango’, ‘citrus’ and ‘dates. Value of RSCA should be positive for a country to have comparative advantage in production of a specific commodity. In case of all the three fruits, Pakistan has maintained positive RSCA throughout the period. Results of both indices (RCA and RSCA) reveal that Pakistan has comparative advantage in case of mango, citrus and dates. Despite having comparative advantage, results of RXA and RCAl reveal that Pakistan do not have export competitiveness and competitive advantage in case mango, citrus and dates. Value of RXA is less than one which illustrates that Pakistan is having competitive disadvantage of Pakistan in case of production of mango, citrus and dates throughout the study period. In a similar token results of RCAl in all years under consideration, reveals competitive disadvantage of Pakistan as value of RCAl remained negative in case of all the three fruits. If value of RCAm is compared in case of these three fruits, dates have higher value of the index, hence comparatively higher comparative advantage than other two fruits.

Pakistan should focus on improvement of quality of its top three important fruits in order to increase international competitiveness and retain the comparative advantage in production of mango, citrus and dates. International market is very dynamic and demands variability in terms of quality of a commodity and its value addition. Being one of top ten exporters of these three fruits, competition with other competing countries becomes more challenging. Pakistan needs to invest in Research and Development (R and D) for improving the quality of these three exportable fruits in order to meet the demands of international consumer.

Novelty Statement

This study provides analysis of Pakistan’s comparative and competitive advantage in production of top three fruits, namely mango, citrus and dates by using Revealed Comparative Advantage, Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage, Relative Export Advantage Index and Log of Relative Export Advantage Index. It is critical for improving Pakistan’s competitiveness in the world market through quality improvement and value addition.

 

Author’s Contribution

Rakhshanda Kousar drafted the outline of this paper and write down first two sections. Tahira Sadaf contributed in analysis and technical writing. M. Sohail Amjad Makhdum collected the data. M. Amjed Iqbal did proof reading of the manuscript and Raza Ullah helped in editing and write up.

 

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