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Using of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model for Forecasting Milk Production of Dairy Cattle Farms in Dakahlia Governarate of Egypt

Using of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model for Forecasting Milk Production of Dairy Cattle Farms in Dakahlia Governarate of Egypt

Asmaa A. Badr, Eman A. Abo Elfadl, Mohammed M. Fouda, Sayed M. Elsayed

1Department of Husbandry and Development of Animal Wealth, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Mansoura University, Gomhoria St., Mansoura, P.O. box 35516, Egypt; 2Department of Applied statistics and Econometrics, Faculty of Graduate Studies for Statistical Research, Cairo University, Egypt. 

 
*Correspondence | Asmaa A. Badr, Department of Husbandry and Development of Animal Wealth, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Mansoura University, Gomhoria St., Mansoura, P.O. box 35516, Egypt; Email: [email protected]

Figure 1:

ACF value (Holstein Friesian).

Figure 2:

Partial ACF (Holstein Friesian).

Figure 3:

Residual autocorrelation.

Figure 5:

Time sequence plot for milk production of Holstein Friesian.

Figure 6:

Forecasting plot for milk production of Holstein Friesian.

Figure 7:

ACF (auto correlation function) for Holstein German.

Figure 8:

PACF (partial auto correlation function) for Holstein German.

Figure 10:

Residual partial autocorrelation.

Figure 11:

Forecast plot for Holstein German.

Figure 4:

Residual partial autocorrelation.

Figure 9:

Residual autocorrelation for Holstein German.

Figure 12:

Time sequence plot for forecasting milk production of Holstein German.

Advances in Animal and Veterinary Sciences

November

Vol. 12, Iss. 11, pp. 2062-2300

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