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Forecasting Area and Production of Guava in Pakistan: An Econometric Analysis

Forecasting Area and Production of Guava in Pakistan: An Econometric Analysis

Dilawar Khan1*, Arif Ullah2, Zainab Bibi1, Ihsan Ullah1, Muhammad Zulfiqar4 and Zafir Ullah Khan

1Department of Economics, Kohat University of Science and Technology, Kohat 26000, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan; 2Department of Economics, Preston University Kohat Campus, Kohat 26000, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan; 3Department of Economics, University of Science and Technology, Bannu 28100, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan; 4Institute of Development Studies, The University of Agriculture, Peshawar, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan.

dilawar@kust.edu.pk  

Eq1
Eq2
Eq3
Eq4
Eq5
Eq6
Eq7
Eq8
Eq9
Eq10
Figure 1

Trend of the variables. 

Figure 2

Correlogram for the original series of guava area.

Figure 3

Correlogram for the original series of guava production. 

Figure 4

Correlogram for the differenced series of guava production. 

Figure 5

ARIMA criteria graph of area. 

Figure 6

ARIMA criteria graph of production. 

Figure 7

Correlogram for the residuals of area series. 

Figure 8

Correlogram for the residuals of production series. 

Figure 9

Normality test for guava area. 

Figure 10

Normality test for guava production. 

Figure 11

Forecasted area and production of guava in Pakistan. 

Sarhad Journal of Agriculture

September

Vol.40, Iss. 3, Pages 680-1101

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