Determinants of Rice Production in Nepal
Determinants of Rice Production in Nepal
Hari Prashad Joshi, Kuaanan Techato, Khamphe Phoungthong* and Keshav Raj Panthee
ABSTRACT
Rice as a major cereal crop is getting the attention of policymakers all over the world. Amidst the different changing climatic conditions across the globe, researchers are focusing on the study of determinants of rice production from a different perspective. This study also has made an effort to investigate the determinants of rice production in Nepal taking annual mean temperature, cultivation area, fertilizer used, and precipitation rate as the independent variable by the use of the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model. The data analysis from 1990 to 2019 showed that annual mean annual temperature and fertilizers have a long-term, favorable and significant impact on rice production. Whereas cultivation area has a short-term significant impact. Precipitation and cultivation area did not have a long-term effect on rice production. The study recommends prioritizing the expansion of rice cultivation area and area-specific practices for adapting to climate change for increasing rice production in the scenario of an almost stable cultivation area in the last two decades.
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