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Optimizations of Modified Machine Learning Algorithms Using K-Fold Cross Validations for Wheat Productivity: A Hyper Parametric Approach

Optimizations of Modified Machine Learning Algorithms Using K-Fold Cross Validations for Wheat Productivity: A Hyper Parametric Approach

Farrukh Shehzad1, Muhammad Islam1,2*, Muhammad Omar3, Syed Ijaz Hussain Shah4, Rizwan Ahmed5 and Naeem Sohail6

1Department of Statistics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan; 2Crop Reporting Service, Agriculture Department Bahawalpur, Punjab, Pakistan; 3Department of Computer Science, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan; 4Crop Reporting Service, Agriculture Department M.B Din, Punjab, Pakistan; 5Crop Reporting Service, Agriculture Department Khanewal, Punjab, Pakistan; 6Crop Reporting Service, Agriculture Department Gujrat, Punjab, Pakistan

 
*Correspondence | Muhammad Islam, Crop Reporting Service, Agriculture Department Bahawalpur, Punjab, Pakistan; Email: mislam6667@gmail.com 

ABSTRACT

An optimized wheat crop productivity model can play a crucial role for evolving effective agricultural policy decisions for food concerns and trepidation. This study measures the efficacies of modified machine learning algorithms using multiple linear regression (MLR), decision tree regression (DTR) and random forest regression (RFR) for wheat productivity using 75% and 25% randomized partitions. The 26,430 field of wheat crop cut experiments (C.C.E) is taken from crop reporting service (CRS), Punjab for the years 2016-17 to 2019-2020. Three generated datasets (D2, D3 and D4) were used to optimize the model performance. The heat plot map shows very strong significance of correlation matrix for D3 and D4, while it was low for D1 and D2. The modified RFR produced lowest values of error for all the datasets, comparing with benchmark DTR and MLR (ErrorMLR > ErrorDTR > ErrorRFR). The modified RFR found best fitted model for the prediction of wheat productivity. The hyper parametric tuning K-Fold cross validation is applied to get the most optimized sub fold for the modified models. It is demonstrated that modified RFR provides superior performance as we advanced from D1 to D4. The results got best when it used D4 for random forest regression with the K Fold-6.

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Sarhad Journal of Agriculture

March

Sarhad Journal of Agriculture, Vol.40, Iss. 1, Pages 01-262

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