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FORECASTING CITRUS EXPORTS IN PAKISTAN

 Ayesha Tahir*

  Planning & Research Monitoring Cell, National Agricultural Research Centre, Islamabad, Pakistan. Corresponding author: ashfju1@gmail.com

ABSTRACT

 The present study was planned to check the trend analysis of export quantity and export value for citrus in Pakistan. The findings of the study are based on citrus export quantity and export value data from 1990 to 2011. Two models of trend analysis were applied but most appropriate model for trend analysis of the present study was quadratic trend model. Forecasting was done from 2012 to 2016.The forecasted export quantities are 1643.13, 1854.03, 2077.80, 2314.46 and 2564.00 thousand tons and forecasted export values are 673.67, 782.34, 898.57, 1022.35 and 1153.68 thousand dollars. Forecasted values are very close to actual values and have positive increasing trend in Pakistan.

 

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Pakistan Journal of Agricultural Research

March

Vol. 32, Iss. 1, Pages 1-217

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